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2025 rural economy outlook in the US

2025 rural economy outlook in the US


By Jamie Martin

The economic landscape of 2025 presents a mixed bag for the U.S. rural economy. CoBank's Knowledge Exchange anticipates significant shifts driven by new federal policies.

The proposed changes by the new Government, focusing on tariffs and immigration, could pose challenges especially for agriculture and construction sectors.

Rob Fox, director of CoBank’s Knowledge Exchange, stated, “Open access to export markets and labor availability are critically important for agricultural producers and processors.”

The U.S. might continue its solid economic trajectory with projected GDP growth of 2.5%-3.0%. However, rural areas remain vulnerable to policy alterations that could affect everything from trade to energy exploration.

The incoming administration's stance on international trade and immigration is likely to redefine rural economic development strategies.

In agriculture, the looming trade wars and policy uncertainty threaten to exacerbate existing pressures. U.S. farmers may face further margin compression due to weaker commodity prices and high production costs.

The dairy sector might see expansive growth with record investments poised to increase cheese and whey output, potentially lowering prices later in the year.

Food and beverage sectors are gearing up for shifts in consumer preferences, with health and nutrition taking center stage. Meanwhile, energy policies could see a rollback on clean energy initiatives, altering the landscape for rural and economically distressed communities.

As rural connectivity challenges persist, political uncertainty could impact the effectiveness of programs like the Broadband, Equity, Access, and Deployment program, which aims to enhance digital infrastructure in underserved areas.

Photo Credit: usda


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